Wednesday, March 10, 2010

This season catch the cold!

Winter is on its way out, even in Shimla.

During the day, you don't need a pull-over though evenings and early mornings are still cold.

You are most vulnerable to catch a cold if you don't take care in these days of season changeover!

In stock markets also, seasons keep on changing.

Besides two main seasons of Bull Summer and Bear winter, there are some smaller but very intense seasons.

They don't have any fixed sequence of when they come. They come almost randomly.

All seasons don't come together.

They come one by one.

Two such recent severe seasons were Sugar season and Metal season.

Around 6 months ago both these sectors started to rise.

Initially, very few people gave these a serious glance!

But by the time people noticed the rise in sugar stocks because of sugar shortage and that in metal stocks due to dollar decline, the season (rally) had already left the platform by miles.

Closely following these season was seasons of Auto and Aviation.

Everyone thought they were late in all these seasons.

But all were wrong. They were still early!

The stocks in both the sectors rose...

and rose...!

and rose...!!

and rose...!!!

Many have made a kill in these four seasons, especially in the first two seasons of Sugar and Metals.

Both seasons are about to end in near future.

We are, many a times, so much focused on nifty that there is a strong risk of missing a new season dawning!

While nifty is the average of many seasons, there are always some who are shooting up while others are cooling off their heels.

Just look at Oil and Gas sector these days. It is sleeping!

Just look at Telecom sector. It is sick!

Just look at Power sector. The power is switched off!

Just look at I.T. sector. The computers seem to have hanged!

Just look at Realty sector. People seem be living in tents!

Just look at the Banking sector. It is neither up nor down....

So, what next season is coming?

It is definitely not going to be metals or sugar or aviation. not even auto.

So, will it be Oil & Gas ?

or Telecom?

or Realty?

or Banking?

or Fertiliser & Chemicals?

I.T.? Power? Infra?

Engg? Cement? Consumer Durables?

But once they come they come big and long!

Don't miss them at any cost!

Your maximum funds should be parked there (just like your maximum funds should have been in metals, sugar,autos and aviation in last 6 months)!

How do you know when the new season has come?

Changing seasons generally cause cold.

Catch it early! Keep yourself exposed fully!!

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