Showing posts with label experience. Show all posts
Showing posts with label experience. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

the story of my experiments with trading

: revered murliji has asked for my early experience in stock market.....this gives me an exciting opportunity to time travel and take a fresh look at where i started from, what all i have gone thru, where i have reached and where i intend to go.....

: each one of us, i believe, is potentially a booker prize winning, novel in flesh and blood......each one of us are worthy of am autobiography.....even if we are not a celebrity.....

: i strongly believe that we all should write our biographies......biographies are not meant for only immortals.....

: like ur stories, my story is also quite long and deserves lengthy treatment......i am glad that i kept writing instantaneous life-journey travelogue then and there and what u see in my blog is nothing but the compilation of those.....

: i take this opportunity to share (in brief) my journey in trading so far....

: in bits and pieces, here in a few whatsapp posts in next few minutes....(i love someone dear asking me to share.....i simply love when someone has time to ask and listen.....nothing oozes more love....nothing more does the humanity need so badly)

: well, in short...here it is....(and i welcome all to share there stories also)

: i am an engineer by training but took lot of foolhardy courage (and stupidy) to damage my career extremely badly and that too quite early in my life....

: and i had no mentor to give me sense.....

: anyhow.....i dropped to level II career path and dragged on.....

: due to this, i always remained dissatisfied as i always felt that my latent potential remained unexploited....

: as Abraham Maslow  hierarchy of human needs also states.....i badly missed the level 5 need....self realization....

: i always wanted to do something great and big.....make big money and achieve something astonishing.....

: which my level II career wasn't giving, wasn't expected to give.....

: so i started looking for "lakshya" (by the way, this is one of the reasons i love the hindi movie "lakshya" by farhan akhtar....)

: for many years i found many lakshya's but all fell way short of meeting by criterion....

: just like a range of subjects which are found "not satisfactory" by the Ph.D. guide to an aspiring research scholar...

: and when u r looking for a lakshya in ur life.....u start stumbling upon a lot of quacks.....

: i met people who gave me and inspired me into lot of "businesses" and "ideas".....all only to delay me, confuse me, frustrate me, throw me into loss, make me a bigger failure.....

: all this time i had, unfortunately, no friends......

: i came across no good ones and bad ones i didn't keep....

: had i got a mentor, i would have come out of that "age" much earlier....

: anyhow...

: i tried many businesses but was put off by the nuiances/roadblocks, least to mention the capital / permissions etc which were truly not my cup of tea...

: one option i had heard about was "stock trading"

: i knew nothing about it....and all i knew about it was that it was dangerous.....

: so, i left it even before i caught it....

: one day, i saw harshad mehta in shimla.....i think it was the year 2000.......he was coming out of the Cecil Hotel (Oberoi) in shimla....i was thrilled to see him from close quarters.......

: didn't have the courage to walk upto him and "take his blessings" 😃

: unfortunately he died next year.....alas

: still, trading was never in my "hit list"

: until 2002 when my life was in real bad shape........

: as the fate was to have it, that year, i fractured my foot in a fall and was bed ridden for 1.5 months

: in those days, personal computers were expensive and internet was thru sify.....v slow and.....

: i didn't know what to do all day.....

: so, i decided to do one think....study...

: so what did i choose to study?

: wel, well, well....i chose computer virus....

: i asked someone to go to bazaar and buy all hardware and virus/hacking etc etc related books for me.....which i got....

: for full 1 month i spent 15 hours a day to study computer virus/trojan/worms etc etc....(don't even recall everything now).....studied how the hackers hack... bla bla....just theory....the architecture.....without knowing anything in actual programming......i was good at concepts and zero in coding...by the time i bought c++ books, i was turned off.....

: but my foot was still 2 weeks or so from healing......

: so i turned to....

: u guessed it right....

: trading....

: how?

: there were no books available.....

: so i turned to "yahoo" babaa....

: google i don't recall....

: i searched for everything and anything available on the net on the topic "stock trading" and downloaded it.....

: i read it all, made notes and note and notes......

: i didn't have access to cnbc (if i recall correctly).......

: by the time i became road worthy, i had done a small "Self" diploma course in trading.....

: from abc to options, futures, margins and alike......

: i decided to run before learning to get on my feet and opened an account with a local broker......

: i started going to their terminals room everyday and just watched everyone there......

: i remember poeple smoking heavily in that small room looking at screen with blinking red and blue squares.....asking intermittently to buy some shares, sell some shares.....nobody was talking about nifty.....

: i must admit i didn't know that nifty could be traded....

: shorting was like magic to me.....how could anyone sell without buying.....i used to wonder....

: satyam and suzlon were very famous those days.....moser baer, jp associates etc etc

: i started in cash and carry....and started taking deliveries of the stocks i knew nothing about but felt that i knew everything.....and that i had "arrived" and that "all those illiterate old fashioned people sitting there should packup as an Engineer mind had come to conquer the market.....

: typing thru whatsapp on pc

: i think we all have the "bimaari" of considering ourselves "experts" while in reality we are not even worthy of standing there.....

: anyhow, needless to say, i was humbled quite early and mercilessly and repeatedly.....

: i kept returning home to get more money from my savings and kept returning next day......

: like a budding juaarii......

: the engineer in me simply refused to accept that i was beaten!!!

: fortunately, i got a good job offer (that too in my city) and got spared of the gallows....

: the job was demanding and i hardly got time and strength and money to blow in trading....

: after one year.....i was, again, suddenly reminded of my darling.....stock trading....

: i opened my first online trading account with icici securities which i later shifted to hdfc securities.....

: and then i started trading.....

: all of that is archived as (almost daily) article entries in my blog.....u can check

: i don't recall much

: since i wanted to be a millionaire overnight, i started with day trading 😌

: don't laugh....😄

: and...

: i started burning my fingers.....

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: it happens with every1😄

: the juaari in u doesn't generally die too soon...

: no method....nothing......just "stars in eyes and josh in heart"....@#$%$#

: then.....after some weeks, i decided that enough was enough, i should study and think.....

: should find out a clever method and start making money....

: and then, i started learning big time........

: it was 2004, i think....

: don't recall the details now.......

: thank god, i kept writing and posting in my blog......

: won't read it again as i will get v emotional reading them.....

: and might cry recalling the blood and pain and tears and sweat i went thru....

: every day i would wake up thinking that i will tame the market, will come out with a magical formula....

: everyday, i used to come out with "brilliant" "super" ideas which tested perfectly fine on screen....even back tested fine....

: only to crash and fail before the night when i would invariably discover the flaw, the loophole.....

: it was mostly day trading those days......

: i have changed my trading styles, and rules and methods and instruments and this and that a hundred times in all these years......

: i would always say to my wife that i have cracked the code, only to return with sagging face before her.....

: she is witness to hours and hours i spent every day for every month for every year since 2004

: hufffffff.........

Sanjeev: So u got the holy grail?

: then, when i came up with lots of smart and interesting and immortal tricks (which ofcourse flattered only to deceive), i came to know something called "technical analyses"

: sanjeevji!!! holy grail!!!! so early.......

: it was a eureka moment for me......meeting ms.technical analysis......

: "now, nobody can stop me" i said to myself.....forgot years of hardwork and got ready to start on a new journey.....

: just see how much hardwork we are willing to "write-off" in the quest for something......

: i don't remember the chronology, but i remember everything i came up and sown with.....

Sanjeev: How much u totally invested till now since 10 yeard

: will reply to that.....

: so, i started with technical indicators....and learnt a lot....a lot.....

: i must have learnt every indicator.......tried it.....only to get frustrated with results and drop it.......

: every indicator worked but didn't.....what a paradox.....

: finally i shortlisted a few (as per my comfort level and understanding).....rsi....sma....and a few more....

: then i started my epic journey with rsi.....

: i have no shame in demanding an honourary Ph.D. from (even a fake) university....i have done original work in rsi with the inventor Welles Wilder didn't  know......

: anyhow....

: after "mastering" rsi, i started trading more seriously.....day trading as well as swing.....

: and mind u, friends, all this happened over months and years......not as fast as it seems while writing this...

: one reason why i survived this long, besides my obsession with trading theory, was the rule i had made for myself.....

: that....

: "i will not bet big till i have cracked the code"

: this is the one and only reason i am still liquid and in the market despite having lost so many times in so many years....

: i have quit market so many times and i don't even remember......

: everytime some trick, method, indicator, plan failed.....it felt like a jolt.....

: i had left my career, failed at everything else......and here i was....having invested millions (in terms of minutes, blood drops, peace of mind, health....)and still nowhere near.....

: how would it feel?

: when indicator after indicator started to fail, i was again turned off....this time v badly....

: i stepped out of the trading ring but trading refused to step out of me.....

: i realised that technical indicators were not enough.....

: everyone was trading on technicals and getting beaten on tactics.....

: i was forced to abandon now even the technical indicators........

: for once it felt that all i had studied till now was useless.....

: i was hunting in the wrong jungle.....

Arun Singla: Ohhhh🙇🙇

: but my love for the trade made me forget my (study) "loss" and i was still excited enough to start my third phase....learning tactics......

: very few of u perhaps know that i worked on tactics for quite a few months.....

: i studied machiavelli, karl von clausewitz....etc etc...\

: i consider Al ries and Jack Trout my foster mentors.... i have read all their books.....and tactics was the underline force in everything they wrote....

: i compiled all i stuided in tactics and even wrote a small book on "Tactics"......all that is archived in my other blog....http://100tactics.blogspot.in/

: and then i discovered that operators were using dirty tactics.....

: and this journey continued.....and is still continuing.....

: on the way....i have discovered some great indicator applications.....some tricks....

: i have come across some loopholes of operators.....have got some secret keyholes which hint to what the operators might be upto.....

: some real original work....

: now when i look back....

: i realize that every little learning that i did in all those years (over 13 years) never went waste.....

: no indicator is complete.....but no indicator is useless.....

: every indicator is like an alphabet which when read alongwith other alphabets reveals something....

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: How has been 2008 crash for you?

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: many left mkt for ever in 2008

: i lost....but since i had that rule (mentioned above) i survived.....

: i have unwittingly re-opened my wounds.....

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: Were u able to foresee the bounce back in 2009

: i got my lakshya (aim)......i am satisfied....now working to achieve it...

: no....

: my most precious gems are the latest ones.....

: ur last and the latest lessons are often the best ones and carry the dna of all ur previous learnings......

: my success rate jumped dramatically last year (around july)......u can check mudraa....

: that was when things suddenly started falling into place and i started seeing which i was missing earlier.....

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: Accrding to u. What is the one thing which brings the traders back to mkt   inspite of so many loses

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: Everyday

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: Is that hope to make it big one day

Alok Srivastava Bangalore: ??

: hope, dream, sense of revenge, fighting back, no other way to go, back against the wall, desire to prove oneself....

: there is no holy grail......

: only the unholy secrets of operators.....which are no less than the holy grail....

: i have got a few

: thank u murliji for giving me the opportunity....indebted

Arun Singla: Karat karat abhyaas ke,
Jadmat hoth sujaan..

: abraham maslow was right when he put "self realization" on top and "money-like security need" at the bottom....

Sandeep Chennai: Great story js ji - lifetime of a trader

: yes, i know....acknowledge that.....everyone has one......its only that we are too shy and too modest to share......we all are heroes in our lives.....

Sandeep Chennai: This is true inspiration for everyone who has lost in life and how he can be successful if he has will to achieve

: Never worry about loss.....once you get it right, profitable trades will rise dramatically......it's only till that time.....

Monday, March 11, 2013

million dollar traders

pl find below links to the 3 part bbc series "million dollar traders"

i recently came across these and watched them. these are 1 hour each 3 parts of an "experiment" wherein 8 shorlisted novice traders are given 1 million dollars to trade (after ofcourse basic training and under watchful expert eyes)

what a series this is! what an experiment it turned out to be!

every novice, ambitious (& even others) must watch these. all tensions and emotions and dilemmas and triumphs etc are beautifully (and at times in raw ugly manner) exposed!

watching these and other videos will add to any trader's learning curve.

enjoy.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v6ciY8u04Kk
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ML4ObTeYLhg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWkzAvE5aQQ

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

emotions,inexperience& trained gut (words from masters)

"there is a big difference

between trading emotionally and trading from your gut.

...trading emotionally means reacting to fear and hope, which can destroy your trading decisions.

...trading from your (trained) gut is different.

inexperienced right-brain traders are susceptible to acting on ideas

based on feelings drawn from erroneous principles

because they have not sufficiently trained their right brain in proper trading principles.

they have not yet supplied the right brain

with enough of the raw material required to make proper judgments.

for this reason, the gut reaction of the novice trader will often be wrong."

- Curtis Faith

recognizing scalping opportunities (words from masters)

"For extremely short-term trades,

relying on the right brain is often the only practical approach.

Traders simply do not have enough time to perform complicated analysis.

Traders who are scalpers must trade mostly using their right brains.

For longer-term trading, traders have plenty of time for analysis.

The left brain is good at building and understanding models for how the world of trading works,

and the right brain is good at generating ideas

and recognizing opportunities."

- Curtis Faith

importance of training intuition (words from masters)

"The experiences you encounter

while trading

train your intuition

so that, in time, you can become an expert.

Learning as a trader can be difficult, however, because of the price of mistakes.

In trading, mistakes cost money.

Fortunately, traders can develop their intuition to a high level of expertise

without having to put their money at risk."

- Curtis Faith

library of experiences (words from masters)

"To become a master trader,

to be able to intuitively make good decisions,

you must first gain enough of the right kinds of experience.

This is why doctors and nurses go through extensive training and supervision when they are new to the profession.

It is why firefighters train in fire simulations,

and why airline pilots train in flight simulators.

Through this constant exposure and consistent practice,

experts build up a library of experiences that they can draw upon

when making decisions."

- Curtis Faith

Saturday, December 25, 2010

mind v/s indicators

who makes the trading decision

you or your mind?

obviously your mind.

you are nobody

your mind is the real you

and what is your mind?

is it the hardware which is mind

or the software in it?

obviously it is the software

if hardware were the mind

all minds in the world would have been the same

and you would be making money in the markets as much as

the most succesful trader having the same hardware!

so,

it is the software that is the mind

and it is this software which is trading

not you!

if you are losing more than you are winning

then the culprit is the software!

who programmed this software?

was it programmed in C++ or Java or VB?

how much time would it have taken to develop this software?

well, no programmer programmed your mind's software!

this software was programmed

through a lifetime of

conscious and subconscious learnings and experiences!

whatever you think

is not you but the the software in your mind that is thinking

on the basis of its likes and dislikes

preferences and biases

fears and greeds

lessons and prejudices

programmed into it till date!

--

everyday

during trading hours

this software is pitched in a direct fight

with the logical signals of technical indicators!

do you have any idea who wins this fight

day after day

everyday?

it's your mind's software!

T.Harv Eker has also strongly endorsed this in his classic

"secrets of a milionaire mind".

the poor logical technical indicator is always vetoed

unless he is saying what is same as the programmed mind is saying!

is it surprising any more that you have been losing despite knowing indicators?

--

and for heavens sake

now don't start flogging mercilessly your mind!

it's not his fault!

start reprogramming it with

"millionaire" thoughts and habits and behaviour patterns!

till date you have not been a milliOnaire

and hence your programmed thoughts are not those of a millionaire

rather, you have been hating the millionaire coterie hearts-of-hearts all these years

and hence your programmed minds are anti-millionaire

whereas your conscious mind wants to be one!

--

tell your mind that

money is not a sin!

profit is not a dirty word, loss is!

tell him gently that

it is not a crime to be wealthy!

risk is not bad but a must!

all sweet things are not profitable

and all bitter things are not bad!

tell him to be less fearful and more bold

tell him that the company of the losers is not a good thing

tell him that it is ok to be oppotunist

tell him that it is ok to profit at other's expense

tell him that it is not a sacrifice to lose in the market

.....tell him a hundred more things

ask him to dare to unlearn old things not fit in the ruthless trading world

persuade him to learn new lessons....

because what he learns

will react in your bank balance!

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

bravery in the market

in stock markets too

"fortune favours the brave!"

but what kind of brave?

--

1. without method and inexperienced?

= never!

(rather, u r going to get killed without the bravery medal)

--

2. without method but experienced?

= sometimes

(but net bank balance remains same or negative!)

--

3. with method but inexperienced?

= more than 'never' but lesser than 'sometimes'

(bank and mental balance always bleeding)

--

4. with method and experienced?

= more than 'sometimes' but lesser than 'always'

(ban and mental balance always growing)

---

so?

a) have a method, and

b) be less brave till you gain experience!

----

finally

what is bravery?

= doing 'it'

or keep doing 'it'

despite fears

when "you know" that it should be done!

Saturday, October 23, 2010

If you ask me...

If you ask me what all I think are the absolute basic requirements to be successful in stock trading then I would list the following. These come from my own experience till date.

1) Method

If you don't trade as per a method (i.e. you trade randomly)

or

if you keep shuttling between various methods and haven't yet shortlisted & finalised the method you are going to use

then there is no chance for you except some lucky run here or there!

If you have shortlisted a favourite method your journey upwards is definitely on.

2) Buffer amount

If you don't have sufficient buffer amount in your bank after the committed margin money, the stress generated by the normal and abnormal market fluctuations will effect your ability to take correct decisions and hold onto correct positions.

If you have sufficient buffer amount, then you have no tension about unforeseen circumstances.

Shocker times come very few but their fear wears you out!

3) Experience

Once you have a method in the pocket and buffer funds in the bank you still need experience. The real trading is much uglier than that displayed in the showroom!

A soldier who has gun in the hand and bullets in the belt still needs the experience of the battleground lest he should be butchered by the enemy who have three things in their bag - gun, bullets and EXPERIENCE!

4) Consistency

Consistency is the most inconsistent thing in the world.

Many talented and brilliant people faded away like a flash in the pan just because they couldn't be consistent.

You can be only as successful in life as you can be consistent!

Inconsistency can still scuttle your trading dreams despite method and funds!

5) Emergency skills

Emergencies and real bad situations do come once in a while, even in stock market.

No real champion is made without the ability to survive and overpower difficult situations.

If you don't prepare yourself to face such emergencies then don't be surprised that your trading career is hijacked one fine day!

6) Mental toughness

This is the stick you need to support you at every step in trading career!

This is the stick you need to shoo away every unfriendly dog encounter on the dalal street!

Everything is psychological.

No place or situation tests human endurance as much as battlefield and stock market.

A growing mental toguhness is the final frontier to trading success!

Basic Mathematics of Trading

1) You + 0 = You

If you bet too small, you practically don't go far enough howsoever good you may be in trading.

Whatever small distance you cover doesn't take you far enough into the green territory to make you in the position to absorb any potential setback.

2) You x 0 = 0

If you bet too big or too recklessly then you are trying to multiply your present worth with zero which is sure to land you on the right side of the above mentioned equation!

3) You x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 = 2U

If you bet neither small nor too big and with a method and with consistency, you have power of multiplied compounding on your side!

4) U/1.2 = 0.8U;

0.8U/1.2 = 0.69U

If you don't bet too big but have weak discipline or without method then you will keep slipping down. Power of division is working against you.

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Trading on gut feeling?

There are two types of guts or intuition

One, Intuition and Gut based on experience and training.

Two, Intuition and Gut based on rush of blood.

The first one is an angel

the second one is a devil.

In the words of Curtis Faith

in his masterpiece work

'Trading from Your Gut'

"Relatively recent advances in psychology and neuroscience show that human intuition can indeed serve as the basis for powerful rapid decision making.

Our brains can make decisions using thousands of individual inputs almost instantaneously. This type of rapid parallel processing occurs in our right-brain hemisphere.

Because of the speed of the right brain, it can be a powerful tool in
the hands of an experienced trader."

Same idea is echoed by Malcom Gladwell in his brilliant

'Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking'