Friday, March 27, 2026

Trading batsman

 Trading is like batting in cricket. (Operators are the fielding team with fielders, wicket keeper and bowlers - spin, pacers etc). Even umpires are on their side these days. 

As a batsman you see the ball coming (in charts) and anticipate that it is likely to land at abc spot at xyz speed after remaining in flight with or without turn or swing. 

You have be ready with back lift , mental and feet positioning etc. 

You have to hit the ball as per the ball keeping in mind the field placement etc. 

And then it all boils down to timing. Initially the timing is all over the place. But with practice it improves. After a lot of practice you learn timing. Good timing good shot   Excellent timing terrific shot (and trade). Muscle memory!

Imagine swinging the bat without looking at or judging the ball, without having idea of field placement or spot where ball is coming…. That is what most batsman in the street and pit do. 

You do get out sometimes. In fact, many times. That’s ok. But the ones who score more runs and have long career are the ones who are much better in timing. And that comes with practice. With eyes and minds open. And of course with coach around. 

Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Rules of pair/combo/hedged trades

Don’t fiddle with position before at least 200odd move or till profit

Any change in one or both combo parts is to be treated as separate new combo trade

Take this position only at edge

Pick chart judiciously Roles 

Pick combo carefully


Sunday, January 4, 2026

link for joining my Nifty WhatsApp channel

 https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Vb7K6z5EAKWLPpWyrM09


(free to join)

The real risks after Venezuela coup

 - US has taken away Venezuelan President Moduro as a symbolic act. The vice president to Moduro, Rodriguez has assumed charge as President. She is not pro-US. She is already demanding the release of Moduro

- All US soldiers returned. Nobody behind (?). Unlike Iraq or Afghanistan, where the US left soldiers and others to administer.

- Venezuelan people will not let the US take their oil. It will be an emotive political issue. The US dream of 45 trillion $ booty of oil is far-fetched and premature. Who will let  US oil companies come and take over the oil assets of Venezuela?  It is not that easy. Security cover? 

- But the US has surely taken panga with China. China is dependent on Extra-Heavy crude of Venezuela for its refineries. China is heavily invested in Venezuela. good chance we will see China and Russia supporting Venezuela. Big chance of increased instability in Venezuela.

- If at all US gets Venezuelan oil, it will not take it for itself but try to sell to the world against DOLLARS. because for itself it will like to buy from international market with its dollars which is just printed paper for US. this is last ditch effort of US to stop slide of dollar in value and as reserve currency of the world. in reality, this might hasten the process.

- After sanctions on countries like India to buy oil from Russia, the US has made it difficult to go to other sources like Venezuela. This is a step aimed at Russia and China, and their allies. 

- Oil-producing countries will not let the price of crude fall, considering their oil-dependent economies are already bleeding. They might boycott US companies selling Venezuelan oil and this uncertainty might affect oil prices.

- US action might be short-sighted, to protect sinking Trump courtesy economy, epstein etc.  This might affect geopolitical situations globally.

Sunday, December 28, 2025

Nifty Sunday 28 dec view

 Nifty is still in bear positional zone. Advanced stage. 

Any (expected) bounce is likely to fail (when it fails is to be checked as per technicals).

Till this bear phase doesn't end it will be more profitable to find only shorting trade opportunities. 

Long opportunities should be avoided as these are expected to be either small rides or unpredictably volatile.

Bear phase expected to continue till Tuesday. A bounce suspected tomorrow afternoon. Let's see



(You can join my free WhatsApp channel where I share my nifty views and self talks. Link below)

https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Vb7K6z5EAKWLPpWyrM09

(For 2 day training workshop contact 9418037474)

Don't vibrate at bluff

 If you check 1 min chart after 1 minute it will be either up or down, similarly 5min chart after 5min will be either up or down. This is true for any chart for that much time. 

This has big hint for correct trading. 

Decide your time frame (eg 5min chart for positional trader), take trade on some logic in it. And after that don't be bothered about vibrations of price in lower charts. Those are just to make you nervous and exit with small profit or large loss. 

Exit only if the chart you entered shows exit logic. 

Comes with practice. Not v difficult. 

One good profit offsets multiple small losses.




(You can join my free WhatsApp channel where I share my nifty views and self talks. Link below)

https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Vb7K6z5EAKWLPpWyrM09

(For 2 day training workshop contact 9418037474)

Friday, December 26, 2025

Fundamental mistake

 One fundamental mistake amateur traders make is that when they lose in trade they replenish that loss and trade again. This way they keep losing, keep topping up. Instead they should trade with remaining amount and try to recover. This will push them identify issue first.

I can make you world class trader

If you are willing to pay for the techniques and professional insights….

Otherwise you may continue to struggle a decade more

Sorry for being that candid, for the real thirsty needs plain water. 

If you actually want to learn, and have no ifs and buts get in touch with details about you like your background etc. . You’ll find the email link in the blog. 

Casual enquiries excuse. pl save your and my time and energy. First search your why.  right for selection for training reserved  

And of course you get a mentor for life  

Best wishes

Saturday, December 20, 2025

Will stock trading survive AI?

 [20/12/25, 12:01:49 PM] Friday Trainers: Mass usage of advance AI will make current stock market trading patterns obsolete IMHO. High probability prediction of moves will become so common that market operations will cease to be in the current format. 

Whatever you have to gain or do, you have just few years  

[20/12/25, 12:02:54 PM] Friday Trainers: Some quant and algo companies already got their hands on solutions. That eventually will become open leading to what I apprehend in coming years ‎<This message was edited>

[20/12/25, 1:04:44 PM] Friday Trainers: The manner of Trader participation will change. participation in profit distribution will shrink.

[20/12/25, 1:06:58 PM] Friday Trainers: The concept of money and capital mobilisation will change. Retail traders may not be needed. 

Stock market systemic reforms are due and coming. 

AI will shock the way and does it will happen

[20/12/25, 1:07:37 PM] Friday Trainers: Bluff which will not look like bluff would mean that this game will give way to something less participative

[20/12/25, 1:11:46 PM] Friday Trainers: See what’s happening to option selling. See how things are being made tighter for option buyers.

AI will be stupid if it fails to call direction of market soon despite all bluffs. They know AI will start calling trades. So trades have to change. This game will become outdated. Retail investors will not be needed. Only consumers. 

It will not happen in one go. Gradually. No Jhatka. Halaal.

[20/12/25, 1:11:52 PM] Friday Trainers: Already happening

[20/12/25, 1:12:09 PM] Friday Trainers: Limited time with us. A few years max

[20/12/25, 1:26:20 PM] Friday Trainers: Retail investors may not be required in some point of time in future. Neither will be secondary markets. Though ownerships will change hands.

[20/12/25, 1:27:11 PM] Friday Trainers: AI will make casino owners less interested in gambling business.

[20/12/25, 1:31:32 PM] Friday Trainers: Time of mega corporates coming. They’ll be their own financers. Security to them will also be provided by security providing mega corporates.

Primary markets were created to solve a scarcity, a problem. The world has changed since then. 

Few companies going to banks. They go to VCs and primary markets. Note giant corporates will replace primary market “business “

[20/12/25, 1:33:00 PM] Friday Trainers: Power and wealth dynamics changed and changing. Third world countries and those not changing will become sitting ducks 🦆

[20/12/25, 1:34:25 PM] Friday Trainers: And the beauty is nobody will feel or notice change happening with every passing day. See how much the world of money and corporates has changed in last 4 years after Covid. AI is just one of the spokes in the wheel

[20/12/25, 1:38:20 PM] Friday Trainers: One day, like Dream 11, like currency trading, FNO participation will be made restrictive. To start with

[20/12/25, 1:40:20 PM] Friday Trainers: All losses will end the day trading gets….. self talk

Freedom day for 95%

Thursday, December 18, 2025

my nasdaq and nifty view (18 Dec 3:30pm)

nasdaq (cmp 24647) : 15min and 5 min chart hinting that it is going seriously down in next few days/weeks.

nifty (cmp 25815) :  5 min and 15min chart hinting that it may slip below 25700 spot

let's see....

--


Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Taming the nifty

 no markets without operators. 

no operators without bluff. 

bluff can't be caught without knowledge, can't be survived without patience. 

patience not possible with fear. 

fear is there because of risk. 

risk because of greed. 

greed because we are not sure. 

no surety without practice.

Monday, December 1, 2025

Self talk

 [01/12/25, 10:07:36 AM] Friday Trainers: Never gamble, never trade bigger than the position you can hold in adverse unexpected moves. 


Never put everything at stake even if you are a champion trader like Yudhisthir, because there is always a possibility of operator Shakuni playing in the name of opponent Duryodhan with “magical dice”. Remain the game for the next round


…. Self talk


[01/12/25, 10:16:16 AM] Friday Trainers: Market keeps punishing you, even if forever, till you learn the lessons 


And market keeps rewarding you even if forever till you remember the lesson.


Market has no sympathy for the poor and no empathy for the rich….self talk


[01/12/25, 10:23:46 AM] Friday Trainers: It is said that stock trading money is the easiest money


It is


But only for losing


For earning it is one of the most difficult money. You have to go through army like toughest training to make it look easy to yourself and others…. Self talk


Thursday, November 27, 2025

Easy money?

 People say stock market money is an easy money. Actually it is the most difficult money. Well earned. 

It becomes easy only after you cross the difficulty mountain. 

Almost all retail traders get frustrated with the uncomfortable difficult ugly situations market puts you in daily. Trading situation every morning and afternoon are uncomfortable. Everyone tries to hate dislike and avoid them. But the fact is markets are built that way. Difficult situations won’t go away. You have to learn facing and being ok with them. Just like doctors in emergency room. 

Earlier you become comfortable with facing the uncomfortable, earlier you will progress. That becomes the boundary between struggling and successful traders or businessmen

Don’t whip yourself

 Never whip yourself for what you miss. But always pat your own back for what you catch. 

Because what you appreciate grows your confidence and what you curse makes it fear next step. 

It is like a baby learning to walk before he runs before he springs...

Gradually, the misses reduce and catches increase.... Self talk

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Why small options are better

 The logic of taking small option is very simple. 

If the direction is right, even small option will become quite big BUT if the direction is wrong, even big option cannot save you. In fact that will be disastrous. So, it is always better to trade in small options  

We have to just avoid losing big. Profit will come eventually inevitably 

Even Charlie Munger used to say…we have to avoid wrong decisions. It is not critical to take lot of right decisions to be super successful. Ask we have to ensure is that we don’t do anything stupid or don’t do too many wrong things. Once that is ensured big success comes sooner or later. We have to stay in the game long enough.

Also, since fear factor is not there one can hold without panicking


Sunday, November 23, 2025

Why market moves against us the moment we enter

 It looks like the market goes the other way the moment you enter. 

But in reality there is hidden reason to that perception

It indirectly means

- that you simply fell into operator emotional trap and succumbed to the fear or bait by buying wrong side

- ⁠or that you were not expecting normal vibration volatility of market (which is almost always there)

- ⁠or You have bitten more than you can keep in mouth

- ⁠or that you don’t have a system or don’t have confidence enough in it that you can bet your sum for some loss

Why Retail Traders Wait for a Correction… but Don’t Enter When the Correction Actually Comes

 


1. They plan with logic… but face the market with emotion.

Before the correction, they are calm and rational:

“If Nifty comes to 23,500, I will definitely buy.”

When it actually comes, the screen is full of red, news is negative, and emotion replaces logic.

So the same mind now says:

“Maybe it will fall more… let me wait.”


2. Falling prices feel unsafe even if they are fundamentally cheap.

Humans equate falling prices with danger.

When prices rise, the brain feels reward.

When prices fall, the brain feels threat.

So buying during a fall goes against our biological wiring.


3. They underestimate how corrections look and feel in real time.

On paper: “10% correction → buy zone.”

In real time:

  • Volatility spikes
  • Red candles everywhere
  • Social media panic
  • Headlines predicting market crashes
    The environment looks hostile.
    So they freeze.


4. The fear of catching a falling knife.

They don’t know if the correction is a shallow dip, a deep correction, or the start of a bear market.

This uncertainty stops action


5. No predefined entry method.

Most retail traders say “I’ll buy the dip” but they have:


  • No fixed level
  • No allocation plan
  • No confirmation signal
  • No sizing strategy
    So when the dip actually comes, they don’t know how to enter.


6. They want the “perfect bottom.”

They think:

“Why buy at 23,500? Maybe it will fall to 23,000.”

Then:

“Why buy at 23,000? Maybe 22,500.”

Trying to catch the exact bottom means they miss the whole move.


7. Recency bias takes over.



If the last few candles are red, the mind assumes the next ones will also be red.

So even a great long-term level looks scary.

8. They follow others more than their own plan.

When the market falls, YouTube/Twitter/WhatsApp suddenly turn bearish.

People hear:


  • “This is the start of a crash.”
  • “Be cautious.”
  • “More downside possible.”
    They defer to others’ emotions instead of their own plan.

9. No training in acting under stress.

Buying during a correction is emotionally hard.

Retail never trains for emotional discomfort.

Professionals expect discomfort.

They even measure it.


10. Loss avoidance is stronger than profit desire.

The pain of losing money is 2.5x stronger than the pleasure of gaining it.

This is scientifically proven (Prospect Theory).

So when correction comes, pain dominates.

———
Same logic applies while exiting….
———-

So, without homework, without risk management and without courage, expecting stock market success is false hope IMO

Sunday, November 16, 2025

Traders should use technicals, not fundamentals

 Fundamentals are Good for investing. For traders it is timing. 

Also mid cap and small caps have to see something else imho. Portfolios bleeding and many stocks will never recover to their purchase price. Trading is altogether different game than investing. Fundamentals are semi mirage for the retail traders  

If good fundamentals were correct for trading all long side trades would have made money

Fundamentals are not usable for traders. IMHO. Traders can exploit the news but not for long. 

Traders should keep away from fundamentals. Charts are the final cocktail of all truth and bluff. ‎

In short term market scenarios, Operators decide and start planning 2-3 days in advance and trigger implementation half day in advance  

Take advantage of the stories in trading, don’t believe them  


[15/11/25, 7:18:12 PM] Friday Trainers: Retail traders are slaughter sheep lured by fundamental grass….. self talk


Saturday, November 15, 2025

5 stages AFTER trading success

 5 stages AFTER trading success


1. disbelief : that you are finally succeeding

2. ⁠euphoria: goes to the head

3. awakening : that success is not without conditions

4. ⁠self assurance: that it can continue

5. ⁠comfort zone : success is naturalised. ready for the next level.

Thursday, November 13, 2025

What gave me confidence to try trading

 The reason I got seriously interested in trading were mainly 2

1. I didn’t have capital and experience of normal trading/business

2. I saw my friends trading in vegetables apples etc (adhatees)आढ़ती trading similarly too saw people trading in stocks. Friends trading in apples etc weren’t using charts for fluctuations but judgements using experience. This assured me that trading in stocks is just like that but much easier and scalable

Self talk