Saturday, September 6, 2014

“Do you have it in you!!!”

There are on an average around 5 big opportunities in any market / index every year when a huge rally happens.

e.g. There have been 5-6 in nifty in last 12 months, 6 in CNX-IT and 4-5 in FTSE (UK)

the shortest is of 1 month duration while the longer one is 4-5 months long!!!

It is not impossible to catch those ‘mother of rallies’, it is easy to anticipate them but difficult to mouth and digest them whole (or a substantial part) without skill, strategy and mindcontrol.

I have not done these as yet. But since i developed the advance methodologies in the last 1 year, i am itching to catch the next one. Till that time, i am preparing patiently and practicing identifying and riding them (downscaling/simulating them in intra-month rallies).

In between every such rally is an intermediate ranging, sometimes small sometimes quite long.

Some of these rallies are short, and u may outstay in it, while other times the rallies may surprise you by the extent they keep going,  u having quit early!

All this need practice and skill with select tools.

Such rallies can’t be expected but followed as and when and to the extent they are, till they are!

But the point i want to make is twofold

minor– if u miss these 5-6 odd mega chances, what if you catch other peanut opportunities? And if u catch these, what if u lose all others!

Major- if the stakes to claim are that high (each rally can be 10-20% index rally can potentially make u quite rich in just a few weeks), are we in a position to leverage / encash it to the max?

Skill, technology, mental toughness, experience are one thing, capital (funds) and financial management (risk management) when u r in the big ride, is critical and decisive.

So much so that on one side we are desperate to encash it and on the other hand, when the opportunity is right there in front of our eyes, we either chicken out or play it small or are simply not ready for it!

The real fear of any sufficiently advanced trader is not the threat of loss, but the nightmare of missing the big profit!

So many times i have seen traders praying all life for the big opportunity and when they get it, they just say hello and turn back!

I strongly feel that so many struggling traders are in the real danger of self-hypnotism whereby they double cross themselves by convincing their conscious minds that they want it and programming their subconscious minds as to why they can’t do it!

I recall the Indian Army ad punchline – “Do you have it in you!!!”

I ask myself sincerely – “Do i have it in me?”

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