Thursday, September 1, 2011

is trading magic for mass traders?


the stock market world
is full of experts
and their clients.

those not lucky enough
to have a "god father analyst"
are half experts themselves.

rest all
are either devotees of powerful gods
or lucky guys.

when all are out there to win
who will lose?

and since trading is an almost zero sum game
the absence of losers
or the presence of difficult losers
will create a stalemate.

somebody has to lose
for somebody to be a winner!

a stalemate is deathwish for the market.

and since the market is not only alive
but kicking
and kicking hard
the losers have to be there.

and fortunately
there are losers
enough of them to make trading worth
for the pro-winners!

going by the statistics available
the number of losers are atleast 20 times
the number of winners.

this is a big skew
in the favour of winners
in the world full of experts and difficult losers!

how does this happen?

simple,
the minority winners
have money and tricks
to beat everyone else.

what if the losers too join hands
and come up with money and tricks?

there will be an underground invisible fight.

the habitual, compulsive and smart winners
will again come out with
amazingly cunning ways
to beat the losers again!

the ways of the professional winners
are magical.

and like magic
pro-winners don't let the audience have even a clue
of what really is happening.

as clarke's third law says
"any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."

the trading game has always been won by magicians
and will always be.

no amount of technical knowledge can make you a winner
if you are not on the side of the winner.

1 comment:

autostrada said...

In a stalemate in any field of life there are no winners.... In a match for a conclusion, match has to be played.... in M&A's the deal has to go through for winners to emerge and people to profits...same in markets.... you need movement and this channel chaos creates opinions and thus winners and losers.