Saturday, August 23, 2025

My Trades, Trading Ideas and Notes (August'25)

 22/8/25 Friday

1:07pm

bulls may attempt a short charge here. though sell on rise zone will continue till monday imho as shared earlier

11:54am

relief bounce approx done.....more bear territory ahead imho

10:18am

first relief may not come till 10:45-11am imo

9:14am

good morning all. imho we are in sell on rise zone till monday noon approx

9:28am

this may turn nasty...self talk

market may try to negate/reverse GST rally for the time being especially keeping in mind US entering desperation mode to make India scapegoat for Ukraine war wall hit by Trump administration....self talk

though this may be the "fundamentals" excuse, i am trading purely and purely on charts with 0 influencce of fundamentals

21/8/25 Thursday

1pm

fierce fight going on between bulls and bears....expected till 2pm approx

if bulls surrender, then bears likely to rule till monday imho....good chances

11:50am

next 1-2 hours bearish imo

10:10am

Bulls packing their bags secretly imho

20/8/25 Wednesday

3:25pm

some slip expected till tomorrow noon imho. for the dip of "buy  on dips". bulls on half day CL till tomorrow lunch. 

momentum on upside not died down still. 55:45  towards down side

1:35pm

BN looks tired, bulls unlikely to win till tomorrow lunch imho

12:10pm

expecting short term turbulence now for bulls.

11am

half (500) of 1000+ point run done (as shared last week)....24523 till now

18 aug high cleared as hinted earlier. gift nifty chart indicating buy on dips till today closing atleast. let's see...

all the following doctors can be used for second opinion if chart reading of any one of them is inconclusive

nifty. gift nifty, banknifty, US indices, hangsang, maruti/reliance/sbi/itc....self talk

eg whereas nifty chart was showing pause, gift nifty was clear that there is some road still left ahead in the short run.  bank nifty chart also.

even key indicators are confirmation second opinion doctors to each other.....eg rsi on 1min nifty chart clearly saying right now that even today's highs will be taken out. becasue bearish divergence not formed on this minute

9:35am

unsettling turbulence expected around 11-1130am today imho

gift nifty chart indicating buy on dips to extend till 21st opening min

but volatility likely to increase from today noon....let's see

19/8/25

12:30pm

with hiccups i expect nifty to  keep climbing till late breakfast tomorrow

if you can trade with 1/5th (or lesser) of the lots you can afford to buy, you can trade any idea you feel confident about, without anxiety. over a period of time, your number of lots increase without going higher than 1/5th limit, because your profits keep addding to the corpus.....self talk

disclaimer : i am mixing short term trade views with positional views....request for your discretion. (markets tend to keep promises of the positional destinations despite short term whipsaws for tactical reasons)

12:00

expecting short term turbulence now

never panic all in once,  never rejoice all in once

sportsmen are better suited for trading than accountants...self talk

feel the fear but do it anyway (susan jeffers)....loved this book, works in trading as well


enter in steps, exit in steps.....even if not all you could enter, and not all you could exit.....self talk

11am

i am noticing an exhaustion on charts for short term (?). might come in effect post 11:30-noon...let's see....but we will see breaching of yday highs first imho

920am

good morning all.... change in bullish views of yesterday

rsi on several timeline charts suggesting we will clear yesterday highs soon imo

positionally i see buy on dips phase till september opening imho

18/8/25

01:30pm

good competent operators will always keep you confused, unsure, fearful, doubtful, deficient in confidence, always keep you guessing, hesitant....self talk

beware of another gap up tomorrow...self talk

12:15pm

24850 spot is approx  good long side entry point again imho

10am

with this hype and wide euphoria on gst reforms, govt is now in no position not to implement it. govt would have to implement the reforms faster than Diwali, Q3, and not Q4, otherwsie people will delay/postpone their purchases and consumption.......self talk

operators often take markets up slower than expected when they miss the bus....to allow them to load up till acceleration

i see this momentum piercing 25500 spot  in this run

1 hour nifty chart hinting that this buy on dips upmove may not cool down till thursday lunch imho...

24900 reached as shared on 7Aug. 

400 points out of 1000 point expected rally done till today opening.

Ultratech target also hit and updated.

booked profit partially in nifty. 

can you imagine tomorrow's newspapers not carrying the stock market salute to PM's announcement from red fort? can't....that is a big hint where and how today's market is likely to end. no operator can dare do otherwise. DIIs have enough dry powder to undo FII mischief if any.....FIIs visting  their shorts notwithstanding......self talk

traders may not know, but "technicals know that (some) news is coming".....self talk

today's opening has reminded the importance of remaining in the market....if few best moves are missed, that hurts. having said that, new rallies may be mny time bigger than first kick starts....self talk

13/8/25

1053am=bullish as of now on nifty. 

309pm=bullish, good chance for btst imho green signal till monday morning min imho.

12/8/25

market moving as expected as of now

completed targets updated below

a 1000 point+ up rally is on the cards in coming weeks imho...cmp=24525 spot

11/8/25

Market moving as expected, holding trades.

8/8/25

Minutely checked nifty technicals various time line charts

Imho we are v near END OF multi month correction. We are likely to turn up in coming week approx. won’t breach 24000.  

Thereafter festival rally till October. 

80% probability of all this. Let’s see


reliance positional long T=1394,  (Target hit)


7/8/25

we will see 24900 spot again in this series imho, cmp=24388...self talk. (Target hit)

bearish in infosys @1438, expecting=1430, (Target hit)

eicher motors positional long T=5685 spot, (Target hit)

ambuja positional long T=623 spot, closed 592

ultratech postional long T=12650 spot, (Target hit)

tata steel positional long T=166+, closed at 158

jsw steel positional long T= all-time high, (Target hit)

bajaj auto long T=8213, (Target hit)

m&m long T=3240  (Target hit)

itc long T1=414.65, T2=420, (T1 Target hit)


6/8/25 

bharti airtel long T=1960, Result=cloed at 1944

maruti long T=12600, (Target hit)

icici bank long T=1490, Result= closed at 1438

sun pharma bearish T=below 1600c, (Target hit)


disclaimer : these are not trade calls, just sharing my trading notes for learning purpose.

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