My Nifty Trades, Trading Ideas and Notes (Sep'25)

4/9 Thursday

940am= (short-term view) : nifty upmove till 2-3pm imo

3/9 Wednesday

1120am=i see upside till lunch tomorrow

924am=as of now buy on dips

2/9/25 Tuesday

3:01pm=first signal of positional upside for full one more week

3pm= second signal....bullish till 10-11am tomorrow. let's see

227pm=is gst meeting still on?  Yes

is this the expiry effect? likely

so this sharp slip looks like temporary imho...

148pm= 24650 approx...juicy point for re-bulls

1217pm= sharp expansion up not ruled out imo

1159am= some turbulence expected near 1pm but overall view intact

10:12am = first hints that bulls may stay till tomorrow opening imo

916am= bullish till 11am min

956am=first turbulence expected near 11am imo

1/9/25 Monday

1pm= Good chance bulls are staying till lunch tomorrow

1208= Moment of caution for bulls imo

1154am=chance emerging that nifty will hold or rise till 3pm approx. buy on dips

10:29am=now it is likely to rise till noon imo

920am= some slip after intial upburst expected

pre-open = september positional - buy on dips, short term will share after opening

29/8/25 Friday

Good morning all. Checked reliance chart that can have cues for nifty

Buy on dips till Monday morning. Positional up till mid September

But for nifty it will be hard climb. Struggle likely till 3sep. Though positional festival rally on the cards on 1hr tick chart.  Let’s see

9:20am

Nifty likely to be up till11am approx

10:17am

We are near strong bounce zone imo

10:26am

Revised nifty reading. Buy on dips till 3 sep

28/8/25 Thursday

8:50am 

good morning everyone. positionally sell on rise zone seems to have extended on charts imo. but intraday sharp upside recovery expected after approx 15 mins from opening today. which will be eventually sold imo later. let's see...

9:25am

traffic light strategy will give good entry point now😊

10:02am

expecting relief rally for 1 more hour approx

10:29am

bears gone for party till 1-2pm, bulls sniffing chance

11:09am

bears tunnn in party....

unlikely to come to senses till lunch (1-2 pm)

12:22pm

options spread showing gate closing for downside till expiry imho....also, as more put buyers jump in gates till 24700 will open....let's see

12:49pm

bears locked in the party room by bulls till tomorrow noon imo....interesting twist to chart

3:28pm

positional sell on rise but short term v near bounce point. Let’s see

post market chart read : expecting a bounce till 10:30-11am....let's see

27/8  = Ganesh Chaturthi

26/8/25 Tuesday

10:10am

relief (as shared at 931am) may stay till 11-11:30am approx. after that one slip expected till lunch (1-2pm

9:37am

likely to see All Bears at the lunch table. but also likely to see All Bears at the lunch table. call buy is so aggressive that it might lock the upside for some time.

9:31am

some relief may come around 10am imo

9:13am

sell on rise zone short and term and positional intact.

9:31am

some relief may come around 10am imo. call buy is so aggressive that it might lock the upside for some time. 

relief may stay for an hour imho, till approx 11:30am...let's see....after that one slip expected till lunch (1-2pm)

12:54pm

Time for second relief imho. Positionally sell on rise till Thursday noon IMHO

25/8/25 Monday

1:08pm

adding to shorts any more here. if it moves higher then there is something i dont know that's happening, or is not spotted in the charts. either they are filling trucks to dump or something else is happening if it doesn;t correct from here imho.....self talk

preserving my dry powder, positional sell on rise hasn't melted imho.

11:02am

nifty planning to fall more by falling late imho

i am positionally bearish (sell on rise) for remaining calender days of august

everyday is a different pitch, different bowler, different conditions.....you have to respect that and play as per the day's asking....self talk

10:03am 

bank nifty will drag nifty down for some more days. in sell on rise zone imho

9:21am

weakness suspected in Nifty till 11-12noon as shared on friday

22/8/25 Friday

1:07pm

bulls may attempt a short charge here. though sell on rise zone will continue till monday imho as shared earlier

11:54am

relief bounce approx done.....more bear territory ahead imho

10:18am

first relief may not come till 10:45-11am imo

9:14am

good morning all. imho we are in sell on rise zone till monday noon approx

9:28am

this may turn nasty...self talk

market may try to negate/reverse GST rally for the time being especially keeping in mind US entering desperation mode to make India scapegoat for Ukraine war wall hit by Trump administration....self talk

though this may be the "fundamentals" excuse, i am trading purely and purely on charts with 0 influencce of fundamentals

21/8/25 Thursday

1pm

fierce fight going on between bulls and bears....expected till 2pm approx

if bulls surrender, then bears likely to rule till monday imho....good chances

11:50am

next 1-2 hours bearish imo

10:10am

Bulls packing their bags secretly imho

20/8/25 Wednesday

3:25pm

some slip expected till tomorrow noon imho. for the dip of "buy  on dips". bulls on half day CL till tomorrow lunch. 

momentum on upside not died down still. 55:45  towards down side

1:35pm

BN looks tired, bulls unlikely to win till tomorrow lunch imho

12:10pm

expecting short term turbulence now for bulls.

11am

half (500) of 1000+ point run done (as shared last week)....24523 till now

18 aug high cleared as hinted earlier. gift nifty chart indicating buy on dips till today closing atleast. let's see...

all the following doctors can be used for second opinion if chart reading of any one of them is inconclusive

nifty. gift nifty, banknifty, US indices, hangsang, maruti/reliance/sbi/itc....self talk

eg whereas nifty chart was showing pause, gift nifty was clear that there is some road still left ahead in the short run.  bank nifty chart also.

even key indicators are confirmation second opinion doctors to each other.....eg rsi on 1min nifty chart clearly saying right now that even today's highs will be taken out. becasue bearish divergence not formed on this minute

9:35am

unsettling turbulence expected around 11-1130am today imho

gift nifty chart indicating buy on dips to extend till 21st opening min

but volatility likely to increase from today noon....let's see

19/8/25

12:30pm

with hiccups i expect nifty to  keep climbing till late breakfast tomorrow

if you can trade with 1/5th (or lesser) of the lots you can afford to buy, you can trade any idea you feel confident about, without anxiety. over a period of time, your number of lots increase without going higher than 1/5th limit, because your profits keep addding to the corpus.....self talk

disclaimer : i am mixing short term trade views with positional views....request for your discretion. (markets tend to keep promises of the positional destinations despite short term whipsaws for tactical reasons)

12:00

expecting short term turbulence now

never panic all in once,  never rejoice all in once

sportsmen are better suited for trading than accountants...self talk

feel the fear but do it anyway (susan jeffers)....loved this book, works in trading as well

enter in steps, exit in steps.....even if not all you could enter, and not all you could exit.....self talk

11am

i am noticing an exhaustion on charts for short term (?). might come in effect post 11:30-noon...let's see....but we will see breaching of yday highs first imho

920am

good morning all.... change in bullish views of yesterday

rsi on several timeline charts suggesting we will clear yesterday highs soon imo

positionally i see buy on dips phase till september opening imho

18/8/25

01:30pm

good competent operators will always keep you confused, unsure, fearful, doubtful, deficient in confidence, always keep you guessing, hesitant....self talk

beware of another gap up tomorrow...self talk

12:15pm

24850 spot is approx  good long side entry point again imho

10am

with this hype and wide euphoria on gst reforms, govt is now in no position not to implement it. govt would have to implement the reforms faster than Diwali, Q3, and not Q4, otherwsie people will delay/postpone their purchases and consumption.......self talk

operators often take markets up slower than expected when they miss the bus....to allow them to load up till acceleration

i see this momentum piercing 25500 spot  in this run

1 hour nifty chart hinting that this buy on dips upmove may not cool down till thursday lunch imho...

24900 reached as shared on 7Aug. 

400 points out of 1000 point expected rally done till today opening.

Ultratech target also hit and updated.

booked profit partially in nifty. 

can you imagine tomorrow's newspapers not carrying the stock market salute to PM's announcement from red fort? can't....that is a big hint where and how today's market is likely to end. no operator can dare do otherwise. DIIs have enough dry powder to undo FII mischief if any.....FIIs visting  their shorts notwithstanding......self talk

traders may not know, but "technicals know that (some) news is coming".....self talk

today's opening has reminded the importance of remaining in the market....if few best moves are missed, that hurts. having said that, new rallies may be mny time bigger than first kick starts....self talk

13/8/25

1053am=bullish as of now on nifty. 

309pm=bullish, good chance for btst imho green signal till monday morning min imho.

12/8/25

market moving as expected as of now

completed targets updated below

a 1000 point+ up rally is on the cards in coming weeks imho...cmp=24525 spot

11/8/25

Market moving as expected, holding trades.

8/8/25

Minutely checked nifty technicals various time line charts

Imho we are v near END OF multi month correction. We are likely to turn up in coming week approx. won’t breach 24000.  

Thereafter festival rally till October. 

80% probability of all this. Let’s see

reliance positional long T=1394,  (Target hit)

7/8/25

we will see 24900 spot again in this series imho, cmp=24388...self talk. (Target hit)

bearish in infosys @1438, expecting=1430, (Target hit)

eicher motors positional long T=5685 spot, (Target hit)

ambuja positional long T=623 spot, closed 592

ultratech postional long T=12650 spot, (Target hit)

tata steel positional long T=166+, closed at 158

jsw steel positional long T= all-time high, (Target hit)

bajaj auto long T=8213, (Target hit)

m&m long T=3240  (Target hit)

itc long T1=414.65, T2=420, (T1 Target hit)

6/8/25 

bharti airtel long T=1960, Result=cloed at 1944

maruti long T=12600, (Target hit)

icici bank long T=1490, Result= closed at 1438

sun pharma bearish T=below 1600c, (Target hit)

disclaimer : these are not trade calls, just sharing my trading notes for learning purpose.

fridaytrainers@gmail.com

the Trader with spy mindset

It is sad that people look down upon technicals. Technicals are the footprints of the operators and masses. it is like a Morse code of secret communication. Technical traders have to have the mindset of a spy. 

The best way to master any indicator is to learn in reverse. Mark 100 high and low points of any chart and see what that indicator did at ALL  of those points. the secret will be revealed to you. like Bruce Lee advised, practice one (or select) technical(s) a thousand times....self talk

the mercy of operator

markets give you next pain only when you have forgotten the previous one. so never forget your pain...self talk.

if market is applying savlon to your wounds, be alert.

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you may not know what the market is going to do, but you can definitely react to what the market has overdone. and overdo it definitely does as part of the game to trap/confuse/bluff.

which strikeprice option to buy?

- very far out of the money, like 5-10 value = for thrill, not trading

- far out of money like 30-35 value = for aggressive betting on profit from earlier trades

- out of the money like 70-100 value = normal trade position

- in the money like 100-150 = when you are confident 

- deep in the money like 250-400 = alternate to buying futures

- deeper in the money = not much extra benefit though risk increases

Once the value of the option enters the next, higher level, you may skim the option to lower/earlier category and take some profit/money off the table.

Caution : Never put 5% (at worst 10%) of your trading capital in single trade.

except aggressive betting of profits of one trade. eg you turn 10 to 12 lac....and want to bet aggressively with that 2 lac profit, provided you have an evolved dependable tested plan. several traders have made big sums with that approach.

should we buy or sell options? my take

Selling options only if you have backup funds to withstand big adverse moves and still have a plan. And when you have that much, it is better to buy stocks the investor way. Almost all big professionals do that. I mean those beyond 10-20cr funds.

I know some traders who made crores, lost crores multiple times selling options. They falter tragically in trending and volatile markets. 

They failed to go beyond a level because they didn’t know how to know the trend, which is the same reason they switched from buying to selling.

IMHO a disciplined, successful options buyer has all it takes to become an investor ultimately. The %cagr on a big corpus makes them financially free without anxiety and still grow their net worth.

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Traders think that they need more money to buy 100 lots instead of 10 lots. Actually, they need a mindset.

Money comes easily. Mindset doesn’t

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Mental maturity and stability are required. Not money. Money comes.

Until our thinking changes, our financial standing doesn’t change.

If trading doesn’t change you, you are not progressing

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Option buying is gear one and two. Not required after 15 km/h and 25 km/h. Option selling is the third gear. Investing is 4th gear and overdrive,

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Option buying is like buying futures with a premium as interest of borrowing or hafta. People don’t buy options except for the reason that they don’t have larger money. 

Those who have money to short options have either inherited or are blowing their savings OR are geniuses.

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Both buying and selling are good tools. Nothing wrong with both. Both are different tools for different situations and stages imho.

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Both shouldn’t be looked down upon. These are not show-off concepts.

I mean buying and selling options

DIIs FIIs use all tools at their disposal as per the situation. They also buy options.

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It is difficult to make trading difficult

 A trade is like the sail of a wind sail boat. All a trader needs to do is to judge the direction of the wind and adjust the direction of the sail. A trader, like a sailor, can’t decide on the amount of thrust the trade boat will get. That depends upon the velocity of the wind decided by factors not under his control. Big storms or good winds or short bursts come randomly. To be ready to catch them is all that is that a trader sailor has to align with. 

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Trading is easy because that is all a trader needs to do. The rest market does. It is difficult to imagine that someone may find it difficult to judge the direction of the wind. It is difficult to make trading difficult.

All we have to decide is whether to buy a put or call. One of them is always right. It is the only gambling with a 50% assured result. We still lose because we either buy too big to hold without anxiety, or we change our mind at the drop of a hat, or we don’t have any logic to pick the trade side. Self talk